4
Handsome Boy
9yo Gelding · 9-6
Vincennes · Prix Gaston Roussel - Monte · 1m 6f 36y
#4
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength33%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Laval | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Vincennes | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-03 | Laval | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-26 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Cordemais | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength74%
Delivery trend +5.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 13/12/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 28/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 93% | +0.51 |
| 24/03/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 15/04/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 26/05/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 19/06/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 19/08/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |