8
Harmony La Nuit
9yo Mare · 9-4
Vincennes · Prix Gaston Roussel - Monte · 1m 6f 36y
#11
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Vichy | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Vichy | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Laval | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-05 | Vincennes | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength60%
Delivery trend +4.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 18/11/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 58% | -0.15 |
| 30/11/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 05/01/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 28/03/2026 | 8th | 125/1 | 0% | 59% | +0.59 |
| 04/05/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |
| 11/05/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 01/08/2026 | 1st | 50/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |