14
Impulse Julry
8yo Mare · 9-4
Vincennes · Prix Gaston Roussel - Monte · 1m 6f 36y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength43%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Marseille-borely | 2 | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-05-07 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Hyeres | 2 | +2 | ||
| 2026-04-08 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-09 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength42%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 07/11/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 58% | -0.10 |
| 15/11/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 17/12/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 25/01/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 20/02/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 07/05/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 54% | +0.38 |
| 15/05/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 26/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |