5
Isocrate D'ela
8yo Gelding · 9-6
Vincennes · Prix Gaston Roussel - Monte · 1m 6f 36y
#2
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Laval | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Agon-Coutainville | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-02-16 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-03 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength74%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2025 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 19/11/2025 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 22/01/2026 | 5th | 100/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 03/02/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 16/02/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 54% | +0.12 |
| 05/07/2026 | 13th | 100/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 19/08/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |
| 05/09/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |