11
Jour De Fete
7yo Horse · 9-6
Vincennes · Prix Gaston Roussel - Monte · 1m 6f 36y
#13
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength47%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Divonne Les Bains | 2 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-07-19 | Royan-La Palmyre | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Enghien | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Vincennes | 2 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength94%
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 85% | -0.05 |
| 06/03/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 08/04/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 01/07/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 69% | +0.06 |
| 19/07/2026 | 11th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 21/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 05/09/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 54% | +0.38 |