4
Needream
3yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Courtenay - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#11
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲15
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C18.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -15.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Enghien | 18 | 2nd | 20th | −15 |
| 2026-06-16 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Chatelaillon | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-27 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength41%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 19/12/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 14/01/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |
| 27/01/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.08 |
| 10/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 02/06/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 16/06/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 13/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 90% | +0.43 |
| 01/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |