10
Nefertiti
3yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Courtenay - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Pornichet | 2 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-01 | Enghien | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Enghien | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Enghien | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-12 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Graignes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength40%
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 12/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 58% | +0.06 |
| 25/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 01/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 13/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |