8
Nell Des Rioults
3yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Courtenay - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#3
Rank
Odds
19/10
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | 5 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-08-20 | Pornichet | 5 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-07-13 | Le Mans | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 92% | +0.06 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 82% | +0.00 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |