3

Nenigma

3yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix De Courtenay - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#6

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ La Capelle 08/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 08/0554 @ Pontchateau 04/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 04/0644 @ Enghien 13/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 013/084C0 @ La Capelle 02/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 02/09C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02La Capelle?3rd3rd0
2026-08-13Enghien44th5th1
2026-06-04Pontchateau43rd4th1
2026-05-08La Capelle51st3rd2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/054/0613/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength74%

Delivery trend +2.5% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/05/20261st4/998%100%+0.02
04/06/20263rd13/891%67%-0.25
13/08/20264th8/158%67%+0.09
02/09/20263rd10/382%82%-0.01