6

Nina Du Cojeul

3yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix De Courtenay - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#5

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 07/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 07/03C?C0 @ Reims 15/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 015/04C?C0 @ La Capelle 03/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 03/05C?5 @ Amiens 11/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m6f91y Std 011/065C0 @ Enghien 26/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 026/07C?C0 @ Vincennes 26/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 026/08C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Vincennes?2nd2nd0
2026-07-26Enghien?7th7th0
2026-06-11Amiens51st3rd2
2026-05-20Le Croise-Laroche?0
2026-05-03La Capelle?5th5th0
2026-04-15Reims?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0315/043/0511/0626/0726/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +13.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/03/20262nd8/158%86%+0.28
15/04/20266th16/116%29%+0.13
03/05/20265th33/10%50%+0.50
11/06/20261st22/10%100%+1.00
26/07/20267th50/10%45%+0.45
26/08/20262nd40/10%92%+0.92