11

Noblesse Mika
3yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Courtenay - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#10
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Enghien | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Agen | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Argentan | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Argentan | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Reims | 6 | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength39%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 13/04/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 19/05/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 12/08/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |