11

Noblesse Mika

3yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix De Courtenay - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#10

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Reims 14/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 014/036C0 @ Argentan 13/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 013/04C?C0 @ Argentan 19/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 019/05C?4 @ Agen 20/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m4f176y Std 020/064C0 @ Enghien 12/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 012/08C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-12Enghien?5th5th0
2026-06-20Agen41st2nd1
2026-05-19Argentan?9th9th0
2026-04-13Argentan?10th10th0
2026-03-14Reims63rd7th3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0313/0419/0520/0612/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength39%

Delivery trend -1.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/03/20263rd16/116%80%+0.64
13/04/202610th40/10%40%+0.40
19/05/20269th50/10%20%+0.20
20/06/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
12/08/20265th40/10%56%+0.56