1

Nuitee D'amour

3yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix De Courtenay - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#9

Rank

Odds

13/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pontchateau 12/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 012/04C?C0 @ Enghien 27/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 027/04C?5 @ Le Mans 21/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 021/055C0 @ Caen 15/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 015/06C?C0 @ Cabourg 07/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 07/07C?C0 @ Cabourg 18/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 018/08C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Cabourg?2nd2nd0
2026-07-16Enghien41
2026-07-07Cabourg?3rd3rd0
2026-06-15Caen?3rd3rd0
2026-05-21Le Mans55th7th2
2026-04-27Enghien?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0427/0421/0515/067/0718/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength84%

Delivery trend +5.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/04/20264th5/174%63%-0.11
27/04/202612th18/15%15%+0.10
21/05/20265th25/10%69%+0.69
15/06/20263rd22/10%85%+0.85
07/07/20263rd8/158%83%+0.25
18/08/20262nd5/174%90%+0.16