6
Keeper Perrine
6yo Gelding · 10-3
Vincennes · Prix De Gap - Monte · 1m 6f 36y
#10
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Laval | 5 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-08-05 | Mauquenchy | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Pornichet | 6 | 9th | 11th | −2 |
| 2026-06-02 | Les Sables | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Chartres | 5 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2025-07-05 | Enghien | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 8-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength4%
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/2024 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 06/03/2025 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 21/04/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 30/04/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 07/05/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 02/06/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 91% | +0.25 |
| 02/07/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 05/08/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 10/09/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |