7

King Du Ril

6yo Gelding · 10-3

Vincennes · Prix De Gap - Monte · 1m 6f 36y

#3

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 12/12/2024 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13912/12C?C0 @ Nantes 17/01/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 143C0 @ Pontchateau 07/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 1437/03C?C0 @ Vincennes 22/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 143C0 @ Vincennes 27/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 14327/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 10/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 143C0 @ Vincennes 31/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 14331/12C?5 @ Nantes 12/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 07 @ Mauquenchy 10/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 14310/097projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Mauquenchy79th13th3
2026-08-09Divonne Les Bains?0
2026-02-06Vincennes40
2026-01-12Nantes58th9th1
2025-12-31Vincennes?1st1st0
2025-12-10Vincennes?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/1222/0431/1210/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength79%

Delivery trend +6.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/12/20241st4/797%100%+0.03
17/01/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
07/03/20251st1/297%100%+0.03
22/04/20252nd2/189%88%-0.02
27/11/20256th25/10%62%+0.62
10/12/20256th28/10%55%+0.55
31/12/20251st11/142%100%+0.58
12/01/20268th50/10%30%+0.30
10/09/20269th25/10%47%+0.47