7

King Du Ril
6yo Gelding · 10-3
Vincennes · Prix De Gap - Monte · 1m 6f 36y
#3
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Mauquenchy | 7 | 9th | 13th | −3 |
| 2026-08-09 | Divonne Les Bains | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-06 | Vincennes | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-12 | Nantes | 5 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-12-31 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-10 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength79%
Delivery trend +6.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2024 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 17/01/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 07/03/2025 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 22/04/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 88% | -0.02 |
| 27/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 10/12/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 31/12/2025 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 12/01/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 10/09/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |