3

Kingalo Du Chene

6yo Gelding · 10-3

Vincennes · Prix De Gap - Monte · 1m 6f 36y

#4

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength14%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class: 7
Recent avg: C7.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 07/11/2023 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 1327/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 23/11/2023 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 132C0 @ Vincennes 20/12/2023 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y 13220/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 23/01/2024 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 139C0 @ Vincennes 30/04/2024 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13930/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 21/05/2024 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 139C0 @ Reims 20/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 14320/03C?C0 @ Caen 26/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 143C0 @ Nancy 29/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 14329/05C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-18Caen73
2026-05-29Nancy?2nd2nd0
2025-05-05Meslay Du Maine?0
2025-04-26Caen?1st1st0
2025-03-20Reims?3rd3rd0
2025-02-28Vincennes?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1123/0120/0329/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength42%

Delivery trend -1.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/11/20232nd7/282%92%+0.11
23/11/20238th18/15%36%+0.31
20/12/20232nd10/147%92%+0.44
23/01/20245th3/184%64%-0.21
30/04/20242nd4/179%91%+0.12
21/05/20245th13/266%60%-0.06
20/03/20253rd8/158%80%+0.22
26/04/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
29/05/20262nd3/184%89%+0.05