11
Komedie Somolli
6yo Mare · 10-3
Vincennes · Prix De Gap - Monte · 1m 6f 36y
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Mauquenchy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Lisieux | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Caen | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Laval | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Caen | 6 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-04-23 | Laval | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength69%
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/01/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 06/02/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 30/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 75% | +0.33 |
| 23/04/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 90% | +0.85 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 03/06/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 10/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 78% | +0.07 |
| 15/07/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 46% | -0.06 |
| 05/08/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |