12
Michigan Bro
7yo Gelding · 10-3
Vincennes · Prix De Gap - Monte · 1m 6f 36y
#8
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength3%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-27 | Enghien | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Enghien | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Nancy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength57%
Delivery trend -20.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 29/05/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 82% | +0.27 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 27/06/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |