1
Rocky Oasis
6yo Gelding · 9-4
Vincennes · Prix De Gap - Monte · 1m 6f 36y
#13
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Vire | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Vincennes | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Cabourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Lisieux | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Enghien | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Vincennes | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength23%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 19/03/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 90% | +0.43 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 22/05/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 27/06/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 15/07/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 31/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 31/08/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 06/09/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |