1
Saucy Name
5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 80
Woodbine · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength73%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 18/09/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 12/10/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 22/11/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 13/12/2025 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 18/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 11/06/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |