Suigu Belle
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 78
Woodbine · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-11-28 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-10-31 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 30/08/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 20/09/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 31/10/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 28/11/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 15/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |