Dafina
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 72
Woodbine · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-03-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-12-12 | Turfway Park | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2025-10-17 | Keeneland | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -16.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 44% | -0.13 |
| 12/12/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 27% | -0.20 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 17% | -0.66 |
| 16/08/2026 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 14% | -0.74 |