6
Hot List
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 68
Woodbine · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
95%
Place Prob
75%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-07-10 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength62%
Delivery trend +9.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/2025 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 13% | -0.53 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |