3
Sil's Gamble
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 85
Woodbine · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-27 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 31/07/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 04/09/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 18/10/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 27/11/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 18/06/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 27/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |