5
Vrana
5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 76
Woodbine · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 55% | -0.28 |
| 05/09/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 27/09/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 08/11/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 28/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 12/12/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 25/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 06/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |