2

World Showcase

5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 67

Woodbine · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f 110y

#7

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Woodbine 26/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 77 · 6f110y 121 · below its mark26/09/2025 · OR 77 par26/09C8OR 77C8 @ Woodbine 12/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 72 · 6f Fas 121 · below its mark12/10/2025 · OR 72 parC8 @ Woodbine 25/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 75 · 6f110y Fas 121 · below its mark25/10/2025 · OR 75 par25/10C8OR 75C8 @ Woodbine 22/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 67 · 6f Fas 121 · below its mark22/11/2025 · OR 67 parC8 @ Woodbine 25/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 72 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 72 par25/04C8OR 72C8 @ Woodbine 16/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 76 · 6f 122 · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 76 parC8 @ Woodbine 29/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 76 · 7f 122 · below its mark29/05/2026 · OR 76 par29/05C8OR 76C8 @ Woodbine 23/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 67 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 67 parC8 @ Woodbine 04/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 64 · 5f110y Fas 124 · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 64 par4/09C8OR 64projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Woodbine?6th6th0
2026-07-23Woodbine?5th5th0
2026-05-29Woodbine?6th6th0
2026-05-16Woodbine?6th6th0
2026-04-25Woodbine?6th6th0
2025-11-22Woodbine?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0922/1129/054/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -1.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/09/20255th20/10%0%0.00
12/10/20258th33/10%13%+0.13
25/10/20255th12/137%33%-0.04
22/11/20258th33/10%0%0.00
25/04/20266th5/174%17%-0.57
16/05/20266th20/10%29%+0.29
29/05/20266th16/116%44%+0.29
23/07/20265th20/10%20%+0.20
04/09/20266th9/153%0%-0.53