2
Classic Move
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 92
Woodbine · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 2.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-01-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength97%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/01/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |
| 07/02/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 73% | -0.09 |
| 21/03/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 08/08/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |