1
Give Me The Boots
6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 83
Woodbine · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Woodbine | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength68%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 21/09/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 06/10/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 08/11/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 22/11/2025 | 10th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 13/12/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 01/08/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |