Social Code
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 80
Woodbine · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
16%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-06-21 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-05-17 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-04-26 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2024 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 03/11/2024 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 12/12/2024 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 26/04/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 17/05/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 21/06/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 08/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |