Frac Right
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 76
Woodbine · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-12-14 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 21/09/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 13/10/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 14/12/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 13% | -0.45 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 31/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 07/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |