Glasweigian
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 86
Woodbine · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
19%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-10-13 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |
| 10/08/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 28/09/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 13/10/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 30/11/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 02/08/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 16/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |