2
Ride For The Purse
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 85
Woodbine · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-08-07 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |
| 10/10/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 24/10/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 21/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 14/12/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 07/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 30/08/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |