Shak Town
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 94
Woodbine · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
78%
Place Prob
55%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-06-28 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-06-07 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2025-10-05 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-08-24 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 05/10/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 07/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 19/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |