4

Silver Is Best

3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 81

Woodbine · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength61%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Woodbine 24/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 78 · 6f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/08/2025 · OR 78 par24/08C5OR 78C5 @ Woodbine 14/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 76 · 6f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/09/2025 · OR 76 parC5 @ Woodbine 19/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 75 · 7f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/10/2025 · OR 75 par19/10C5OR 75C5 @ Woodbine 23/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 76 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/11/2025 · OR 76 parC5 @ Woodbine 26/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 76 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/04/2026 · OR 76 par26/04C5OR 76C6 @ Woodbine 30/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 82 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 82 parC5 @ Woodbine 21/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 78 · 5f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 78 par21/06C5OR 78C5 @ Woodbine 26/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 81 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/07/2026 · OR 81 parC8 @ Woodbine 27/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 74 · 6f Fas 118 · below its mark27/08/2026 · OR 74 par27/08C8OR 74projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Woodbine?4th4th0
2026-07-26Woodbine?10th6th+3
2026-06-21Woodbine?5th1st+3
2026-05-30Woodbine?9th7th+2
2026-04-26Woodbine?2nd-2th+3
2025-11-23Woodbine?8th4th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0823/1121/0627/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength21%

Delivery trend -0.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/08/20256th11/486%44%-0.41
14/09/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
19/10/20252nd7/282%88%+0.06
23/11/20258th5/174%13%-0.61
26/04/20262nd12/137%67%+0.30
30/05/20269th20/10%0%0.00
21/06/20265th12/137%33%-0.04
26/07/202610th16/116%0%-0.16
27/08/20264th4/179%40%-0.39