5
Souper Strider
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 77
Woodbine · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Woodbine | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength69%
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2025 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 01/11/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 22/11/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 12/12/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/05/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 07/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |