2

Artful Diamond

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 79

Woodbine · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength68%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Assiniboia Downs 21/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS21/08C5BHA76 @ Assiniboia Downs 01/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 76 · 6f Fas 114 · below its mark01/10/2025 · OR 76 par1/1076OR 76C7 @ Woodbine 22/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 67 · 6f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/11/2025 · OR 67 par22/11C7OR 67C5 @ Woodbine 21/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 73 · 5f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 73 par21/06C5OR 73C5 @ Woodbine 26/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 77 · 6f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/07/2026 · OR 77 par26/07C5OR 77C7 @ Woodbine 27/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 79 · 5f Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/08/2026 · OR 79 par27/08C7OR 79projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Woodbine?5th4th+1
2026-07-26Woodbine?8th4th+3
2026-06-21Woodbine?5th1st+3
2025-11-22Woodbine?1st0th+1
2025-10-01Assiniboia DownsBHA765th5th0
2025-08-21Assiniboia Downs?3rd-1th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/081/1022/1121/0626/0727/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength31%

Delivery trend -10.7% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/08/20253rd25/10%60%+0.60
01/10/20255th25/10%0%0.00
22/11/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
21/06/20265th9/153%33%-0.19
26/07/20268th33/10%13%+0.13
27/08/20265th10/147%33%-0.14