1

Definite Diva

6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 73

Woodbine · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength49%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 20/04/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 97 · 5f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/04/2025 · OR 97 par20/04C6OR 97C5 @ Monmouth Park 25/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 93 · 5f110y Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/05/2025 · OR 93 parC5 @ Monmouth Park 29/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 92 · 5f110y Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/06/2025 · OR 92 par29/06C5OR 92C8 @ Monmouth Park 13/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 91 · 5f110y Fm 121 · below its mark13/07/2025 · OR 91 parC7 @ Woodbine 09/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 84 · 5f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 84 par9/05C7OR 84C7 @ Woodbine 05/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 82 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 82 parC7 @ Woodbine 04/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 83 · 7f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 83 par4/07C7OR 83C7 @ Woodbine 08/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 78 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 78 parC7 @ Woodbine 27/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 78 · 5f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/08/2026 · OR 78 par27/08C7OR 78projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Woodbine?6th5th+1
2026-08-08Woodbine?5th4th+1
2026-07-04Woodbine?7th6th+1
2026-06-05Woodbine?4th3rd+1
2026-05-09Woodbine?4th3rd+1
2025-07-13Monmouth Park?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0413/074/0727/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength43%

Delivery trend -2.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/04/20258th14/126%36%+0.10
25/05/20255th9/276%56%-0.21
29/06/20255th6/168%56%-0.13
13/07/20253rd9/488%71%-0.17
09/05/20264th5/174%40%-0.34
05/06/20264th14/126%57%+0.31
04/07/20267th4/179%0%-0.79
08/08/20265th20/10%43%+0.43
27/08/20266th13/266%17%-0.49