5
Kimberlina
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 75
Woodbine · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength69%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 12/10/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 01/11/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 23/11/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 13/12/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 29/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 30/08/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |