3

Mighty Tanner

3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 79

Woodbine · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

9/5

Win Prob

95%

Place Prob

70%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength64%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: +1.6
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Woodbine 12/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 6f Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS12/07C6C6 @ Woodbine 27/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 84 · 7f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/09/2025 · OR 84 par27/09C6OR 84C6 @ Woodbine 25/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 88 · 1m70y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/10/2025 · OR 88 par25/10C6OR 88C7 @ Woodbine 16/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 74 · 6f110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 74 par16/05C7OR 74C7 @ Woodbine 13/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 73 · 6f110y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 73 par13/06C7OR 73C5 @ Woodbine 30/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 82 · 7f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/08/2026 · OR 82 par30/08C5OR 82projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Woodbine?9th5th+3
2026-06-13Woodbine?1st0th+1
2026-05-16Woodbine?6th5th+1
2025-10-25Woodbine?10th8th+2
2025-09-27Woodbine?2nd0th+2
2025-07-12Woodbine?7th5th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0727/0925/1016/0513/0630/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +8.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/07/20257th6/168%25%-0.43
27/09/20252nd7/163%88%+0.24
25/10/202510th8/158%0%-0.58
16/05/20266th6/168%50%-0.18
13/06/20261st1/297%100%+0.03
30/08/20269th25/10%20%+0.20