
Mighty Tanner
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 79
Woodbine · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
95%
Place Prob
70%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Woodbine | ? | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2025-09-27 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2025-07-12 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2025 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 27/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |
| 25/10/2025 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 30/08/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |