Sans Dancer
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 75
Woodbine · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-12-11 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-11-22 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 12/10/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 01/11/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 22/11/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 11/12/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 44% | -0.35 |
| 29/05/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 20/07/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 22/08/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |