Ariane Sky
2yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 63
Yarmouth · Moss And Co Hospitality Nursery · 1m 3y
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
81%
Place Prob
61%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Beverley | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Ffos Las | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Lingfield | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-05-21 | Chepstow | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-04-29 | Bath | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -10.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 21/05/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 64% | -0.15 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 57% | +0.02 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 13/08/2026 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 78% | -0.17 |