Casablanca Dream
2yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 56
Yarmouth · Moss And Co Hospitality Nursery · 1m 3y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Wolverhampton | 3 | 5th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-08-22 | Lingfield | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-08-03 | Nottingham | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +16.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 22/08/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 01/09/2026 | 5th | 100/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |