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6

Chaise Longue

2yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 57

Yarmouth · Moss And Co Hospitality Nursery · 1m 3y

#9

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has looked a staying type across 3 qualifying runs, the drop to 7f clearly unsuitable at Wolverhampton last month. Will likely need to find some progress on nursery debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength78%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Epsom Downs 09/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 7f3y GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS9/0744 @ Lingfield 08/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 1m1y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS8/0844 @ Wolverhampton 18/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 7f36y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS18/084projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Wolverhampton47th5th+2
2026-08-08Lingfield45th3rd+2
2026-07-09Epsom Downs48th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/078/0818/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength85%

Delivery trend +25.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/07/20268th18/15%0%-0.05
08/08/20265th12/137%20%-0.17
18/08/20267th50/10%45%+0.45