7

Launchpad

2yo Colt · 9-1 · OR 57

Yarmouth · Moss And Co Hospitality Nursery · 1m 3y

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Is being brought along steadily, seventh of 11 in novice (150/1) at Wolverhampton (6f) 22 days ago. Type to do better now tackling nurseries over longer trips.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength63%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Windsor 13/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 6f12y GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS13/0745 @ Lingfield 15/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 6f1y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS15/0855 @ Wolverhampton 26/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 6f20y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS26/085projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Wolverhampton57th6th+1
2026-08-15Lingfield59th8th+1
2026-07-13Windsor47th5th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0715/0826/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength27%

Delivery trend -2.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/07/20267th150/10%45%+0.45
15/08/20269th22/10%11%+0.11
26/08/20267th150/10%40%+0.40