9
Theft
2yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 54
Yarmouth · Moss And Co Hospitality Nursery · 1m 3y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength90%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Yarmouth | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-08-17 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-08-01 | Doncaster | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength85%
Delivery trend +17.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 45% | -0.07 |
| 17/08/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 30/08/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |