Whiskey Galore

2yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 61

Yarmouth · Moss And Co Hospitality Nursery · 1m 3y

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

18%

Place Prob

29%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▼2

Strength63%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 4

Recent avg: C4.5

Today: 6

Class gap: +1.5

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-27	Lingfield	6	2nd	2nd	0	8.0
2026-07-30	Epsom Downs	4	9th	7th	+2	3.4
2026-07-17	Nottingham	4	5th	3rd	+2	7.4
2026-07-01	Epsom Downs	4	8th	6th	+2	4.4

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%

▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price

Trend▲

Strength100%

Delivery trend +16.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
01/07/2026	8th	20/1	0%	0%	0.00
17/07/2026	5th	100/1	0%	0%	0.00
30/07/2026	9th	150/1	0%	0%	0.00
27/08/2026	2nd	12/1	37%	90%	+0.53