2

Mr Twig

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Yarmouth · Infobond EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 1f 21y

#6

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Beaten 10½ lengths under hands-and-heels ride in Newmarket maiden (7f, 25/1) that's working out well. Should be suited by this extra distance second time up, though yard's juveniles are typically campaigned for the longer term.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newmarket 14/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 7f GF 13314/084
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14Newmarket47th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength20%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/08/20267th25/10%40%+0.40