9

Strong Performance

2yo Colt · 9-1

Yarmouth · Infobond EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 1f 21y

#2

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#2

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hasn't achieved much in a couple of 7f maidens here. Longer trip may benefit, however, he'll probably have more realistic opportunities when sent handicapping by his capable yard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 8.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Yarmouth 02/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 7f3y GF 127 · HIGHER CLASS2/0824 @ Yarmouth 30/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 7f3y Sft 13030/084projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Yarmouth49th9th0
2026-08-02Yarmouth28th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0830/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend +9.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/08/20268th9/153%13%-0.40
30/08/20269th11/142%11%-0.31