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Sydney Carton

2yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 71

Yarmouth · Infobond EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 1f 21y

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Stoutly-bred son of Ulysses. Finished with running left when third in an ordinary Beverley novice (7.5f) before well held in the Chesham. Gelded since beaten 5¼ lengths on qualifying run at Chester (6f) 10 weeks ago and could make more impact tackling a trip more in keeping with his pedigree.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength47%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.9
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Beverley 27/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 7f96y Goo 13327/0541 @ Royal Ascot 18/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR - · 7f GF 131 · HIGHER CLASS18/0614 @ Chester 10/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 6f17y Goo 13310/074projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10Chester47th7th0
2026-06-18Royal Ascot114th10th+3
2026-05-27Beverley43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0518/0610/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength99%

Delivery trend +16.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/05/20263rd5/174%71%-0.02
18/06/202614th100/10%0%0.00
10/07/20267th16/116%45%+0.30