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6

Catching Dreams

2yo Colt · 9-2 · OR 78

Yarmouth · Dan Hague, Rails Bookmaker Nursery · 6f 3y

#5

Rank

Odds

7/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showcasing colt who shaped encouragingly when second of 7 in novice at Lingfield (5f, good to firm) on debut, finishing well but unable to run down a more experienced rival. Perhaps caught out but a quick turnaround at Sandown 2 weeks ago and he can still improve now entering a nursery.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Lingfield 25/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 4f217y GF 13325/0744 @ Sandown 06/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 5f10y Goo 1336/084projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-06Sandown43rd3rd0
2026-07-25Lingfield42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/076/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 5-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength49%

Delivery trend -20.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/07/20262nd3/184%83%-0.01
06/08/20263rd4/696%75%-0.21