9
Easy Answer
2yo Colt · 9-0 · OR 76
Yarmouth · Dan Hague, Rails Bookmaker Nursery · 6f 3y
#3
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength85%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.1
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.9
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Salisbury | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 15th | 11th | +4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Yarmouth | 2 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -24.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 71% | +0.29 |
| 16/06/2026 | 15th | 100/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 12/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 71% | -0.19 |